Tuesday, April 30, 2024

"Hurray, Hurray the 1st of May . . .


Outdoor Kissing is Here Today!"

“In the Spring a young man's fancy lightly turns to thoughts of love”

Locksley Hall Alfred, Lord Tennyson


A tisket, a tasket

A special Mayday edition - who knew that May was so full of fun and interesting factoids. 

May 1, 1952 – Mr. Potato Head is introduced. (Not much later Mrs. Potato Head was created from one of his "eyes".)

May 3, 1978 – Digital Equipment Corporation sends the first bulk unsolicited commercial emails… spam is born! (The CEO was tried and convicted posthumously for his crimes against humanity.)

May 4, 1964 – Soap operas “Another World” and “As the World Turns” premiere. (Coincidently, Valium was created the year before so now with “mother’s little helper” and soap operas, millions of housewives could get through the day in the 60’s.)

May 4, 1970 (The year I graduated from the Harvard of the North - much t
o everyone's dismay.) At Kent State University, four students were killed by National Guardsmen who opened fire on a crowd of 1,000 students protesting President Richard Nixon's decision to invade Cambodia. (Song “Ohio” written by Neil Young and recorded by Crosby, Stills, Nash and Young within a few days: “Tin soldiers and Nixon's comin'   We're finally on our own   This summer I hear the drummin'   Four dead in Ohio. . .”)


May 5, 1260 – Kublai Khan, the grandson of Genghis Khan, becomes ruler of the Mongol Empire.
(Hopes that he would be nicer than his grandpa were soon dashed when he proceeded to slaughter 10% of all people alive then.
 
They say he had a gentle laugh though.)



May 6, 1937 - The German airship Hindenburg burst into flames as it neared the mooring mast at Lakehurst, New Jersey. 36 of the 97 passengers and crew were killed. A commentator famously exclaimed, "Oh, the humanity!" (On a positive note, 32 years later the picture of the incident made a great album cover  for the rock group Led Zeppelin.)

May 7, 1992 - The 27th Amendment to the US Consitution was ratified, prohibiting Congress from giving itself pay raises. (Congress apparently misunderstood and thought it meant they didn't actually have to do anything anymore either.)

Birthday - Psychoanalysis founder Sigmund Freud (1856-1939) was born in Freiberg, Moravia. (First doctor to confirm what every guy knows from birth - pretty much everything has something to do with sex.)

May 8, 1794 – The U.S. Post Office is established. (Almost immediately Republicans wanted to privatize it.)

What, me worry?





May 8, 1952 – Mad Magazine hits the news stands. (Almost immediately neither Republicans nor Democrats over age of 12 understand it.)









May 9, 1960 – The Birth control pill is approved by the FDA. (Almost immediately Republicans wanted to ban them.)

May 9, 1862 - During the American Civil War, General David Hunter, Union commander, issued orders freeing the slaves in South Carolina, Florida and Georgia. He acted without approval of congress or the president so the orders were countermanded and he was fired by President Lincoln ten days later. (“Sorry, slaves, just kidding so let’s get back to work.” His heart was in the right place though, 
he got another shot at being a general and 4 months later Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation. He still sucked at being a general though.)

May 11, 1916 -Einstein presents his Theory of General Relativity. (It’s very complex so I'll mansplain: Basically, it says 
generally relatives stick together rather they want to or not. Or something like that.)

May 11, 1969 - During the Vietnam War, the Battle of "Hamburger Hill" began. While attempting to seize the Dong Ap Bia Mountain, U.S. troops repeatedly scaled the hill over a 10-day period and engaged in bloody hand-to-hand combat with the North Vietnamese. Shortly after they secured it, American military brass decided to abandon it. The North Vietnamese immediately retook it. (This apparently became a key US military strategy for most of our wars since then.)

Yours for only $2399!
(Gold sink sold seperately)

May 12, 1792 – The flush toilet is patented. (First manufactured by Englishman Thomas Crapper in late 1800's - no snickering!)

May 13, 1767 – Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart’s first opera “Apollo et Hyacinthus” premieres in Salzburg. He wrote it when he was 11 years old. (Big deal, I put playing cards on my bike wheels with clothes pins to make a sound like a car engine all by myself when I was 11.)

May 14, 1686 Birthday - German physicist Gabriel Fahrenheit (1686-1736) was born in Danzig, Germany. (I know that name from some place! Didn't he change it to Celsius soon after inventing the thermometer or something?)

May 16, 1862 – Just 7 days after Gen. Hunter was fired, another Union General Benjamin Butler, military governor of New Orleans, issued his "Woman Order." Any Southern woman showing disrespect for Union soldiers or the U.S. would be regarded as a woman of the town i.e. prostitute. This set the stage for his dismissal as military governor. (Like Hunter, he was given another shot at general. Apparently the women of New Orleans had the last laugh because Butler was fired again a couple years later. With generals like this, how did the north win the war?! Oh yeah, we had Grant.)

May 17, 1792 - Two dozen merchants and brokers established the New York Stock Exchange. (Maybe they would have been surprised to learn that in the 1930's their creation would cause people to heave themselves out of skyscrapers. Or maybe not.
)

May 18, 1860 – The Republican party nominates Abraham Lincoln for president.

 (It is true that he was the last great Republican president although Teddy and Ike were okay too.) 

May 20, 1927 - Charles Lindbergh, a 25-year-old aviator, took off from Roosevelt Field, Long Island, in the Spirit of St. Louis. Thirty-three hours later - and 3,600 nonstop miles - he landed in Paris, earning the nickname "Lucky Lindy" and an instant worldwide hero. (Later, it was reported that he said he would never fly economy again.)

May 22, 1931 – Canned rattlesnake meat goes on sale in Florida. (It was sold as chicken.)



Birthday - German composer Richard Wagner (1813-1883) was born in Leipzig, Germany. (Besides Nazi's, his music was also a boon for full figured female singers.)




Birthday - Sherlock Holmes creator Arthur Conan Doyle (1859-1930) was born at Edinburgh, Scotland. (It is said that he had some difficulty in elementary school - and Watson never let him forget it.)

May 23

Birthday - Arabella Mansfield (1846-1911) was born near Burlington, Iowa (as Belle Aurelia Babb). She was certified in 1869 as an attorney and admitted to the Iowa bar and first female lawyer in the US. (Who knew that at one time Iowa was actually pretty progressive. They will have none of that nonsense today, however, under current lady Governor Kim Reynolds. On the other hand, she hasn't shot her dog yet so there is that.)





May 24, 1775 – John Hancock is unanimously elected president of the Continental Congress. (“Thanks, John, thanks a lot. Now all the rest of us have to squeeze our signatures in around the edge.”)






May 25, 2020 - George Floyd, an African American man, died during an arrest by Minneapolis police officers, including Derek Chauvin, who knelt on his neck for over nine minutes, despite Floyd's repeated pleas that he could not breathe. (Absolutely nothing funny about this for anyone.)

May 26, 1805 – Lewis and Clark are the first to see the Rocky Mountains. (Seriously? No humans had seen the mountains before? Really? We Americans ARE exceptional!)

May 27, 1647 – Achsah Young is the first woman to be executed as a witch in Massachusetts. (Notice word, first.)
A proud day in Salem!

(Reportedly, her last words were “D
amn it! I thought they asked if I was bewitching and of course I said yes.")

May 27, 1919 – The pop-up toaster is patented. (Unfortunately, sl
iced bread wasn't invented until 9 years later.)

May 29, 1787 - At the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia the Virginia Plan was proposed calling for a new government consisting of a legislature with two houses, an executive chosen by the legislature and a judicial branch. (
One evening they all got drunk at the tavern and thought the goofy Electoral College idea would be a great practical joke to play on the common folk. Unfortunately, due to a hangover, they forgot to take it out of the final draft so we are stuck with it today.)

Birthday - American revolutionary leader Patrick Henry (1736-1799) was born in Studley, Virginia. He is best remembered for his speech in 1775 declaring: "I know not what course others may take, but as for me, give me liberty or give me death." (There is no record of what Virginia's thousands of slaves thought about that.)

May 30, 1889 – The brassiere is invented. As we understand, it received a lot of support.
(Note: I did not write that last part. This is mine: like cuddling and discussing feelings, figuring out how to operate these things is yet another mystery that women pose for men.)

May 31, 1990 – Seinfeld television comedy show premieres. (Like this blog, it was often about nothing.)

May 31, 2000 – The television reality show “Survivor” premieres. (Also about nothing.)


Seinfeld, among the greatest TV shows ever, was on for 10 seasons. Survivor, among the most inane TV shows ever, recently started its 25th year and 46th season. 
Tells you all you need to know about Americans’ taste in entertainment.

And that concludes our lesson for today, you're welcome for all this knowledge.

In closing . . .

“In the Spring an old man’s fancy darkly turns to thoughts of making it to autumn.” 
Anonymous

Have a great May nonetheless with some music!










Sunday, April 14, 2024

Where Have All the Children Gone?


 Demographics are Destiny

Mea culpa: You know, in all honesty I have been following this demographic time bomb for years, even while I was still working, but never believed it would happen. I was wrong. 

Update 4/14 - As luck would have it, in today's Star Tribune was an another article by the columnist mentioned below about demographics. In this one he points out that contrary to popular belief, Minnesota is actually gaining people over 65. It's losing younger people that is hurting us. Taxes, schmaxes! 

Unless you’ve been in a coma (or maybe retired) the last several years, you’ve seen or heard about the growing worker shortages. 

  • “58%  of survey respondents found hiring to be “very” or “extremely” challenging.” RSM Consultants
  • “Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, says the United States has a "structural labor shortage" that’s unlikely to be resolved anytime soon.” 
  • “The US Chamber of Commerce claims there are over 10 million job openings in the US for which employers can’t find workers.”

Police and fire departments all over the country are short staffed. (Although for many different reasons e.g. Mpls cops are 18th in pay in MN. Number one? Sauk Center - go figure.)   

And also the miliary:
  • (DoD Undersecretary) “Ashish Vazirani said that during fiscal year 2023, the military services collectively missed recruiting goals by about 41,000 recruits.” 
Thunderbirds Missing Man Formation

The Star Tribune’s very own Business section writer, Evan Ramstad, has had several columns about this growing  problem, especially in Minnesota. 

There are a lot of things involved in this first-ever (for the US) phenomenon.

First, there is undoubtedly the effect of retirements. With about 4500 baby boomers retiring per day (and going up every year) a lot of experience is leaving the workforce, creating a shortage of skilled workers.

Then there is the so-call skills mismatch.

  • “While the loss of skills and experience through retirement is certainly a contributing factor, the leading cause of the skills shortage is the integration of advanced technology, AI and automation in the workplace.” Minneapolis Star Tribune Feb 20, 2024

     (Just another way to say that companies no longer need bodies,           they need well educated bodies.)

There is also this take:

  • “Here’s the truth: There is no labor shortage. There is, however, a shortage of jobs paying sufficient wages to attract workers to fill job openings. For most Americans, real (inflation-adjusted) wage continue to drop. Wages have been increasing less than prices.” Robet Reich, American economist.

       (You know, how supply and demand are supposed to work in America?)

Which of these and how much each matters is open to debate but in any case there are a lot of jobs that aren’t being filled. Yet ironically the workforce is still growing (with great thanks to immigrants who make up 20% of it.)

But for how long?

The US, like most of the world, has had strong population growth for the last couple hundred years and very robust growth for the last 80 years. We went from 140 million in 1945 to 340 million today, average growth around 3%/yr. First Baby Boomers, then Gen Xers, followed by Millennials, then Gen Z, this population growth supercharged our economy's growth too. The growth rate now is about .5%/yr. (Yeah, point 5!) Can you imagine what it would've been - and will be - without immigrants?!

Apparently to all the Einsteins that study this stuff - demographers - the single most important statistic is the fertility rate. (This number is not to be confused with your neighbor who has 10 kids.) Here’s what they are looking for:

“Assuming no net migration and unchanged mortality, a total fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman ensures a broadly stable population.”


So how are we doing, fertility rate-wise? Right now the good old USA is coming in at a 1.66  – we’re number 134!, we’re number 134! - in fertility. Not terrible, Germany is 1.54. Much better than Japan, 1.33 and way ahead of the lowest, S. Korea at .89 – yowser!  Who’s number one? Niger at 6.6 – double yowser! (How are we doing in MN? 1.75)

Demographics, like DNA, doesn’t lie; the US, like the rest of the developed world, is facing a declining birth rate and population. That said, I’m not sure we all really appreciate what this means. (Well, except that there will be a lot more kids in Africa.)

We in Minnesota, and many other slow growing states (think cold weather), are already feeling the bite and currently can’t fill many types of jobs. We’ll have a lot more to worry about when we encounter a shrinking economy with fewer police, firemen, military members, doctors, nurses, teachers and others. We won’t be alone; this issue is going to affect the whole country over the next several decades.

Simply stated, every woman needs to have 2.1 kids - let's call it 3 - just for us to stand still on population. (This used to be pretty easy, my mom did more than her share with 5 kids.)

Sorry, as usual it's up to women to fix our problems.

There was a time in America when we couldn’t wait to have kids because we knew that their lives would be better than ours. Now, not so much.

What to do about it? Well, besides welcoming more immigrants, I suppose we could try to bribe the ladies of America to have more kids like some countries are doing. But that seems a little transactional – and apparently isn’t working anyway.

Actually, none of this is astrophysics. Here’s a thought: 

How about just trying to make this country a place where parents might WANT to have more kids - or any kids. You know, like good schools (and ones where you don’t have to worry about them being shot.) Good health care that doesn’t bankrupt you; enough housing so you don’t need to be rich to have a roof over your head and an economy that produces jobs that pay enough so that it’s worth going to work  - and supporting a family. Oh yeah, and fix immigration. 

Wouldn't that be tax dollars surprisingly well spent? (I shall now hold my breath.)

On a positive note, no need to plan for a shortage of politicians.


The Times They are A'Changin'     Bob Dylan

Past Time to Pay Attention?

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